CALIFORNIA FIRST NATIONAL BANCORP Item 1A Risk Factors 11-14 ITEM 1A RISK FACTORS There are a number of factors, including those specified below, that may adversely affect the Companyapstas business, financial results or stock price |
Additional risks that the Company currently does not know about or currently views as immaterial may also affect the Companyapstas business or adversely impact its financial results or stock price |
Industry Risk Factors The Companyapstas business and financial results are subject to general business and economic conditions |
The Companyapstas business activities and earnings are affected by general business conditions in the United States |
An economic downturn could result in a deterioration of credit quality of lessees, a change in the allowance for lease losses, or reduced demand for leasing capital assets |
Changes in the financial performance and condition of lessees could negatively affect the repayment of receivables |
In addition, changes in securities markets and monetary fluctuations could adversely affect the availability and terms of funding necessary to meet the Companyapstas liquidity needs |
11 _________________________________________________________________ California First National Bancorp and Subsidiaries Changes in the domestic interest rate environment could reduce the Companyapstas net direct finance and interest income |
The Companyapstas net direct finance and interest income, which is the difference between income earned on leases and investments and interest expense paid on deposits, is affected by market rates of interest, which in turn are affected by prevailing economic conditions, by the fiscal and monetary policies of the federal government and by the policies of various regulatory agencies |
Changes in the laws, regulations and policies governing financial services companies could alter the Companyapstas business environment and adversely affect operations |
The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System regulates the supply of money and credit in the United States |
Its fiscal and monetary policies determine in a large part the Companyapstas cost of funds and the return that can be earned on leases and investments, both of which affect the Companyapstas net direct finance and interest income |
The Company and the Bank are regulated by governmental entities |
This regulation is to protect depositors, federal deposit insurance funds and the banking system as a whole |
Changes in statutes, regulations or policies could affect the Company in substantial and unpredictable ways |
The Company cannot predict whether any potential legislation will be enacted, and if enacted, the effect that it or any regulations would have on the Companyapstas financial condition or results of operations |
The financial services industry is highly competitive, and competitive pressures could intensify and adversely affect the Companyapstas financial results |
The Company operates in a highly competitive industry that could become even more competitive as a result of legislative, regulatory and technological changes |
The Company competes with other commercial banks, savings and lease associations, mutual savings banks, finance companies, credit unions and investment companies, many of which have greater resources that the Company |
Acts or threats of terrorism and political or military actions taken by the United States or other governments could adversely affect general economic or industry conditions |
Company Risk Factors The Companyapstas allowance for lease losses may not be adequate to cover actual losses |
The Company maintains an allowance for lease losses to provide for probable and estimatable losses in the portfolio |
The Companyapstas allowance for lease losses is based on its historical experience as well as an evaluation of the risks associated with its lease portfolio, including the size and composition of the lease portfolio, current economic conditions and concentrations within the portfolio |
The Companyapstas allowance for lease losses may not be adequate to cover actual lease losses, and future provisions for lease losses could materially and adversely affect its financial results |
The Company may suffer losses in its lease portfolio despite its underwriting practices |
The Company seeks to mitigate the risks inherent in its lease portfolio by adhering to specific credit practices |
Although the Company believes that its criteria are appropriate for the various kinds of leases it makes, the Company may incur losses on leases that meet these criteria |
The change in residual value of leased assets may have an adverse impact on the Companyapstas financial results |
A large part of the Companyapstas leases are subject to the risk that the residual value of the property under lease will be less than the Companyapstas recorded value |
Adverse changes in the residual value of leased assets can have a negative impact on the Companyapstas financial results |
The risk of changes in the realized value of the leased assets compared to recorded residual values depends on many factors outside of the Companyapstas control |
The financial services business involves significant operational risks |
Operational risk is the risk of loss resulting from the Companyapstas operations, including, but not limited to, the risk of fraud by employees or persons outside of the Company, the execution of unauthorized transactions by employees, errors relating to transaction processing and technology, breaches of the internal control system and compliance requirements and business continuation and disaster recovery |
This risk of loss also includes the potential legal actions that could arise as a result of an operational deficiency or as a result of noncompliance with applicable regulatory standards, adverse business decisions or their implementation, and customer attrition due to potential negative publicity |
In the event of a breakdown in the internal control system, improper operation of systems or improper employee actions, the Compan y could suffer financial loss, face regulatory action and suffer damage to its reputation |
12 _________________________________________________________________ California First National Bancorp and Subsidiaries Quarterly operating results may fluctuate significantly |
Operating results may differ from quarter to quarter due to a variety of factors, including the volume and profitability of leased property being remarketed, the size and credit quality of the lease portfolio, the interest rate environment, the volume of new lease originations, including variations in the mix and funding of such originations and economic conditions in general |
The results of any quarter may not be indicative of results in the future |
Negative publicity could damage the Companyapstas reputation and adversely impact its business and financial results |
Reputation risk, or the risk to the Companyapstas business from negative publicity, is inherent in the Companyapstas business |
Negative publicity can result from the Companyapstas actual or alleged conduct in any number of activities, including leasing practices, corporate governance, and actions taken by government regulators in response to those activities |
Negative publicity can adversely affect the Companyapstas ability to keep and attract customers and can expose the Company to litigation and regulatory action |
The Companyapstas reported financial results are subject to certain assumptions and estimates and managementapstas selection of accounting method |
The Companyapstas management must exercise judgment in selecting and applying many accounting policies and methods so they comply with generally accepted accounting principles and reflect managementapstas judgment of the most appropriate manner to report the Companyapstas financial condition and results |
In some cases, management may select an accounting policy which might be reasonable under the circumstances yet might result in the Companyapstas reporting different results than would have been reported under a different alternative |
Certain accounting policies are critical to presenting the Companyapstas financial condition and results |
They require management to make difficult, subjective or complex judgments about matters that are uncertain |
Materially different amounts could be reported under different conditions or using different assumptions or estimates |
These critical accounting policies include the estimate of residual values, the allowance for lease losses, and income taxes |
Changes in accounting standards could materially impact the Companyapstas financial statements |
The Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) may change the financial accounting and reporting standards that govern the preparation of the Companyapstas financial statements |
These changes can be hard to predict and can materially impact how the Company records and reports its financial condition and results of operations |
In some cases, the Company could be required to apply a new or revised standard retroactively, resulting in the Companyapstas restating prior period financial statements |
Loss of certain of certain key officers would adversely affect the Companyapstas business |
The Companyapstas business and operating results are substantially dependent on the certain key employees, including the Chief Executive Officer, Chief Operating Officer, Senior Vice President of Credit, Chief Financial Officer, the President and Chief Credit Officer of the Bank and certain key sales managers |
The loss of the services of these individuals, particularly the Chief Executive Officer, would have a negative impact on the business because of their expertise and years of industry experience |
The Companyapstas business could suffer if the Company fails to attract and retain qualified people |
The Companyapstas success depends, in large part, on its ability to attract and retain key people |
Competition for personnel in most activities the Company engages in can be intense |
The Company may not be able to hire the best people or to keep them |
The Company relies on other companies to provide components of the Companyapstas business infrastructure |
Third party vendors provide certain components of the Companyapstas business infrastructure such as the Bankapstas core processing and electronic banking systems, item processing, and Internet connections |
While the Company has selected these third party vendors carefully, it does not control their actions |
Any problems caused by these third parties not providing the Company their services for any reason or their performing their services poorly, could adversely affect the Companyapstas ability to deliver products and services to the Companyapstas customers and otherwise to conduct its business |
Replacing these third p arty vendors could also entail significant delay and expense |
A natural disaster could harm the Companyapstas business |
Natural disasters could harm the Companyapstas operations directly through interference with communications, including the interruption or loss of the Companyapstas websites, which would prevent the Company from gathering deposits, originating leases and processing and controlling its flow of business, as well as through the destruction of facilities and the Companyapstas operational, financial and management information systems |
The computer systems and network infrastructure the Company and others use could be vulnerable to unforeseen problems |
These problems may arise in both our internally developed systems and the systems of our third-party service providers |
Our operations are dependent upon our ability to protect computer equipment against damage from fire, power loss or telecommunication failure |
Any damage or failure that causes an interruption in our operations could adversely affect our business and financial results |
In addition, our computer systems and network infrastructure present security risks, and could be susceptible to hacking or identity theft |
The Company relies on dividends from its subsidiaries for its liquidity needs |
The Company is a separate and distinct legal entity from the Leasing Companies and the Bank |
The Company receives substantially all of its cash from dividends paid by the Leasing Companies |
These dividends are the principal source of funds to pay dividends on the Companyapstas stock |
Various regulations limit the amount of dividends that the Bank may pay to the Company |
The Companyapstas stock price can fluctuate widely in response to a variety of factors, including: actual or anticipated variations in the Companyapstas quarterly operating results; operating and stock price performance of other companies that investors deem comparable to the Company; news reports relating to trends, concerns and other issues in the financial services industry, and changes in government regulations |
General market fluctuations, industry factors and general economic and political conditions and events, including terrorist attacks, economic slowdowns or recessions, interest rate changes, credit loss trends or currency fluctuations, could also cause the Companyapstas stock price to decrease regardless of the Compa nyapstas operating results |
In addition, the volume of trading in the Companyapstas stock is very limited and can result in fluctuations in prices between trades |
The Company is a "e controlled company "e as defined by NASDAQ, with over 50prca of the stock held by the Chief Executive Officer, over 65prca held by two senior executives and fewer than 100 shareholders of record |
As a result, senior management has the ability to exercise significant influence over the Companyapstas policies and business, and determine the outcome of corporate actions requiring stockholder approval |
These actions may include, for example, the election of directors, the adoption of amendments to corporate documents, the approval of mergers, sales of assets and the continuation of the Company as a registered company with obligations to file periodic reports and other filings with the SEC |